The US remains central to the global system, but recent events show that competition is emerging.
Read MoreAs Greece exits its bailout programme, Italy moves to centre stage. Politics is back in Europe.
Read MoreDespite tariffs & sanctions, world trade remains in decent health. But globalisation is changing.
Read MoreSmall advanced economies have more resilience to trade wars than is often thought.
Read MoreAfter a period of skirmishing, we look to be moving into a more consequential period for the global economy.
Read MoreExpect economic and political turbulence as large countries adapt to the realities of limited power.
Read MoreEconomic and political divergence is increasingly looking like the key macro theme for 2018.
Read MoreThe increasingly unilateral use of economic sanctions is the new exorbitant privilege, with concerning implications.
Read MoreThe IMF upgrade the global growth outlook, but small economies suggest that growth may be peaking.
Read MoreThe small economy 'canaries in the mine' are not yet flagging particular concern about trade wars, but trade tensions are not going away
Read MoreSingapore is exposed to increased global risks due to China's recent political changes, and US/China trade tensions
Read MoreThe US/Japan trade tensions of the 1980s provide a useful perspective on how the current US/China tensions might play out. Expect ongoing economic & political turbulence.
Read MoreThe US actions on tariffs may signal a broader set of risks to systemically important economic institutions.
Read MoreThe removal of term limits on the Chinese Presidency lifts the risk profile of China - and the world.
Read MoreOn the importance of being enormous: why China's vast scale matters for thinking about its economic outlook.
Read MoreAn op-ed in The Times on what a post-Brexit Britain can learn from small advanced economies in engaging with the world
Read MoreDespite the attention on Trump, Macron & others, it is small economies that are leading the way. My reflections on Davos.
On why many small economies are well-placed to capture value from disruptive technologies, from automation to AI.
Read MoreRising interest rates will cause growing pressure on both fiscal policy and monetary policy.
Read MoreThe Goldilocks economic recovery continues at the end of 2017, but don't forget about the (economic & political) bears out for a walk.
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