The political incentives facing the new Prime Minister are to delay Brexit beyond October 31.
Read MoreWhat does Singapore’s weak economic data over the past week say about the global economic outlook?
Read MoreGlobal trade tensions are likely to continue and broaden, weighing on the small economy outlook - but small economy out-performance is likely to continue.
Read MoreThe potential for material policy and institutional shocks in 2019 seems higher than a major growth shock.
Read MoreAn unwinding of domestic and global economic institutions is increasingly possible as the political consensus changes.
Read MoreLarge national scale makes the politics of disruptive change harder to manage; smaller countries are better placed.
Read MoreThe global economy is in decent shape, but many of the factors that roiled markets in October are here to stay.
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New Zealand offers a useful perspective on moving global tectonic plates, from normalisation to trade wars.
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The outlook for small advanced economies remains positive, despite a more challenging global environment.
Read MoreThe rumours of the end of the small economy model are much exaggerated; small advanced economies will continue to out-perform.
Read MoreSmall economies continue to perform well, navigating a more challenging environment. But momentum is slowing.
Read MoreThe US remains central to the global system, but recent events show that competition is emerging.
Read MoreAs Greece exits its bailout programme, Italy moves to centre stage. Politics is back in Europe.
Read MoreDespite tariffs & sanctions, world trade remains in decent health. But globalisation is changing.
Read MoreSmall advanced economies have more resilience to trade wars than is often thought.
Read MoreAfter a period of skirmishing, we look to be moving into a more consequential period for the global economy.
Read MoreExpect economic and political turbulence as large countries adapt to the realities of limited power.
Read MoreEconomic and political divergence is increasingly looking like the key macro theme for 2018.
Read MoreThe increasingly unilateral use of economic sanctions is the new exorbitant privilege, with concerning implications.
Read MoreThe IMF upgrade the global growth outlook, but small economies suggest that growth may be peaking.
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